ECI adalah indikator berbasis index yang mewakili perubahan pada upah, bonus, dan tunjangan dari kuartal sebelumnya, ditampilkan dengan basis per jam. Semua industri di luar sektor pertanian (non-farm) tercakup didalamnya, dengan pengecualian pada pegawai pemerintah (yang hanya berkisar 2-3% dari jumlah tenaga kerja).
Employment ost Index (ECI) merupakan laporan kuartalan dari biaya kompensasi yang dirilis di bulan terakhir dari periode kuartal.
ECI adalah indikator berbasis index yang mewakili perubahan pada upah, bonus, dan tunjangan dari kuartal sebelumnya, ditampilkan dengan basis per jam. Semua industri di luar sektor pertanian (non-farm) tercakup didalamnya, dengan pengecualian pada pegawai pemerintah (yang hanya berkisar 2-3% dari jumlah tenaga kerja).
Data dikategorokan berdasarkan kelompok industri, jenis pekerjaan, dan serikat buruh atau bukan. Data dikumpulkan lewat survei terpisah pada bisnis non pertanian (sekitar 4,500 sampel) dan pemerintah lokal dan negara bagian (sekitar 1,000 sampel). Index ini memiliki basis tertimbang di angka 100. Periode dasar saat ini adalah Desember 2005.
ECI diamati karena dapat memberikan pandangan terhadap inflasi. ECI digunakan oleh Federal Reserve untuk menentukan kebijakan moneter.
ECI adalah sebuah lagging indicator, kenaikan biaya pada level indikator ini terhadap ekonomi yang tumbuh terlalu cepat (overheat) sebenarnya telah dapat terlihat lebih awal pada jejaring makanan ekonomi (biaya komoditi, penjualan ritel, produk domestik bruto), dan memberikan indikasi bahwa kenaikan pada inflasi tidak dapat terelakkan.
Indikator ini dapat menggerakkan pasar jika menunjukkan perbedaan yang signifikan dari estimasi pelaku pasar. Ahli ekonomi dan pengamat Fed selalu waspada terhadap adanya kejutan pada tingkat inflasi, dan apapun yang dapat merubah pandangan umum di pasar, karena tingkat inflasi dapat langsung menggerakkan pasar obligasi, dan saham akan bereaksi menurut kinerja reltif yang dimilikinya terhadap prospek pertumbuhan ekonomi.
Semakin dalam pengaruhnya terhadap siklus bisnis, semakin besar kemungkinan saham akan mengalami penurunan pada kekhawatiran adanya pemotongan suku bunga oleh The Fed, dan kemungkinan berakhirnya fase pertumbuhan pada siklus bisnis saat ini.
Kenaikan biaya kompensasi biasanya akan berdampak pada konsumen karena hal tersebut menggambarkan besanya biaya yang dikeluarkan oleh perusahaan-perusahaan.
ECI juga merupakan bagian dari rumus untuk menghitung produktivitas. Jika kenaikan produktivitas lebih rendah daripada kenaikan proporsi ECI tidak dibutuhkan langkah penyeimbangan untuk membuat harga akhir yang dibayar konsumen turun. Investor seharusnya selalu membandingkan ECI dengan tingkat produktivitas total, memberikan perhatian lebih pada tingkat relatif dalam industri dimana mereka memiliki portfolio investasi.
Ringkasan:
· Tanggal Rilis : Kamis terakhir pada bulan April, Juli, November, dan Januari
· Waktu Rilis : 0830 AM (EST) / 20.30WIB
· Dirilis oleh : Bureau of Labor and Statistics
· Sumber : http://stats.bls.gov/news.release/eci.nr0.htm
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