(MahadanaLearning) Biasanya jika mendengar kata inflasi akan langsung membawa pikiran ke gambaran mengenai kenaikan harga, menyusutnya nilai gaji dan konsumen yang jadi tak bahagia, tetapi apakah semua tentang inflasi itu buruk?
Inflasi didefinisikan sebagai “peningkatan yang berkelanjutan dalam tingkat harga umum barang dan jasa.” Banyak konsumen merasa takut terhadap inflasi karena akan mengurangi daya beli uang yang mereka miliki. Pengaruh yang dibawa inflasi pada konsumen di hampir semua negara dapat dilihat pada harga bahan bakar mobil atau bensin, sebagai salah satu contoh. Ketika harga bensin naik, akan membebani Anda lebih banyak uang guna mengisi kendaraan Anda di pompa bensin. Meskipun jumlah uang yang dialokasikan untuk bahan bakar mengalami kenaikan persentase dari uang Anda, namun Anda mendapatkan jumlah yang sama pada bensinnya. Hal ini akan membuat Anda memiliki uang lebih sedikit untuk dibelanjakan pada barang-barang lainnya.
Dalam negara-negara berkembang, inflasi harga makanan menjadi keprihatinan yang lebih besar. Ketika harga sembako meningkat secara signifikan, konsumen berpenghasilan rendah mengalami kesulitan yang lebih parah. Dalam beberapa tahun terakhir, inflasi pangan harga telah menghasilkan demonstrasi dan kerusuhan di berbagai negara di seluruh dunia, termasuk Chile, Maroko, Tunisia dan Aljazair serta Indonesia.
Mengukur Inflasi
Ada beberapa cara untuk mengukur inflasi. Inflasi utama adalah angka inflasi baku seperti yang dilaporkan melalui Indeks Harga Konsumen (IHK) atau dalam bahasa luarnya Consumer Price Index (CPI). Biro Statistik merilis angka IHK bulanan. Angka ini menghitung biaya untuk membeli sejumlah barang sebagai cara untuk menentukan berapa banyak inflasi yang terjadi dalam ekonomi secara luas sebagai persentase kenaikan tahunan. Misalnya, angka inflasi 3% setara dengan tingkat bulanan, jika diulang selama 12 bulan, akan menciptakan inflasi 3% untuk tahun ini.
Angka inflasi tidak disesuaikan dengan perubahan musiman dalam perekonomian atau untuk yang lebih sering unsur harga pangan dan energi yang volatile. Inflasi utama adalah ukuran yang memiliki arti terbesar bagi konsumen, karena kita harus makan dan mengisi bahan bakar.
Inflasi inti, yang merupakan tolok ukur yang disukai bank sentral, adalah ukuran inflasi yang tidak termasuk makanan dan energi. Inflasi inti menghilangkan barang-barang ini karena mereka dapat memiliki guncangan harga sementara yang dapat menyimpang dari tren inflasi secara keseluruhan dan memberikan apa yang pandangan bias pada bank sentral sebagai ukuran inflasi. Inflasi inti paling sering dihitung dengan mengambil Indeks Harga Konsumen dan tidak termasuk barang-barang tertentu (biasanya energi dan produk makanan). Metode lain termasuk perhitungan metode outlier, yang menghilangkan produk yang telah memiliki perubahan harga terbesar. Inflasi inti diperkirakan menjadi indikator yang mendasari inflasi jangka panjang.
Beberapa variasi pada inflasi juga perlu diperhatikan. Hiperinflasi adalah inflasi yang luar biasa cepat dan tinggi. Dalam kasus ekstrim, hal ini dapat menyebabkan kerusakan sistem moneter suatu negara. Salah satu contoh yang paling menonjol dari hiperinflasi terjadi di Jerman pada tahun 1923, ketika harga naik 2.500% dalam satu bulan, juga pada beberapa Negara Afrika seperti Zimbabwe beberapa tahun yang lalu.
Stagflasi adalah kombinasi dari tingginya angka pengangguran dan stagnasi ekonomi dengan inflasi. Hal ini terjadi di negara-negara industri pada 1970-an, ketika ekonomi yang buruk dikombinasikan dengan kenaikan harga minyak OPEC. Di ujung lain dari spektrum adalah deflasi, yang terjadi ketika tingkat harga umum jatuh. Ini adalah kebalikan dari inflasi.
Sisi Baik Inflasi
Inflasi memiliki konotasi negatif seiring banyak orang tidak mempertimbangkan sisi baik dari inflasi. Ya, inflasi berarti bahwa membutuhkan biaya lebih banyak uang untuk membeli barang-barang yang sebelumnya tersedia pada harga yang lebih rendah. Namun, juga bisa berarti bahwa harga rumah, logam mulia, saham, obligasi dan aset lainnya juga meningkat. Untuk pemilik aset tersebut, inflasi dapat memiliki efek yang membangun kekayaan. Inflasi juga dapat mengakibatkan kenaikan upah. Jika upah naik secepat biaya barang dan jasa, maka kenaikan upah dapat mengimbangi kenaikan harga.
Kebijakan Moneter
Dibanyak negara maju seperti Amerika Serikat, Inggris dan beberapa lainnya telah menetapkan target untuk tingkat inflasi yang diinginkan.
Bank sentral biasanya bertujuan mempertahankan tingkat inflasi moderat dan tingkat pengangguran yang rendah. Dalam rangka mencapai tujuan tersebut, bank sentral mengendalikan kebijakan moneter. “Kebijakan moneter” merujuk pada tindakan bahwa bank sentral akan mempengaruhi jumlah uang dan kredit dalam perekonomian. Perubahan jumlah uang dan kredit akan mempengaruhi tingkat suku bunga (biaya kredit) dan kinerja ekonomi. Dengan kata sederhana, jika biaya kredit berkurang, lebih banyak orang dan perusahaan akan meminjam uang dan membelanjakannya, dan pengeluaran ini kemudian akan mendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi. Demikian pula, jika suku bunga meningkat, akan lebih mahal untuk meminjam uang. Ketika ini terjadi, lebih sedikit orang dan perusahaan yang meminjam uang, diman menghasilkan penurunan pengeluaran dan pertumbuhan ekonomi melambat.
Menyatukan semuanya, bank sentral menggunakan alat untuk mengontrol pasokan uang untuk membantu menstabilkan perekonomian. Ketika ekonomi sedang merosot, bank sentral meningkatkan jumlah uang beredar guna memacu pertumbuhan. Hal ini akan memacu inflasi. Sebaliknya, ketika inflasi mengancam, bank sentral mengurangi risiko dengan menyusutkan pasokan uang. Semuanya terdengar cukup sederhana sampai Anda melihatnya dalam konteks faktor-faktor lain yang mempengaruhi perekonomian. Dalam konteks yang lebih luas, kebijakan moneter, inflasi dan hal-hal lain yang terkait menjadi topik bagi para ekonom, politisi, akademisi dan hampir semua pihak lain dalam berdiskusi dan berdebat.
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